「一帶一路」的發軔：隱喻式的國家發展策略初探

How China's Belt and Road Initiative Evolved: Exploring The Metaphorical National Development Strategy

張志銘(Chih-Ming Chang) ； 湯名暉(Ming-Hui Tang)

《國家發展研究》 16卷2期 (2017/06) Pp. 43-99

https://doi.org/10.6164/JNDS.16-2.2

摘要

自2013年，中國陸續提出「絲綢之路經濟帶」和「21世紀海上絲綢之路」，而成「一帶一路」的概念以來，涉及的領域廣泛跨越國際關係，與其他社會科學學門，引起各界關注其內涵與目的。本文嘗試以政策的發展脈絡、地緣格局和非政治因素探討「一帶一路」可能的發軔背景，由於其延續性和跨領域的格局，中國官方雖不明言「一帶一路」為戰略，但隱喻中國當代的國家發展策略於其中。本文發現「一帶一路」延續中國的「走出去」，和西方稱謂之「珍珠鏈」戰略，東面應對美國的「亞洲樞紐」，西面與美俄兩國形成「兩大一超」格局，以文化與超軍事能力達成其「五通三同」的目標。

關鍵字

一帶一路 ； 中國 ； 國家發展 ； 地緣政治 ； 國際關係

並列摘要

In 2013, China began promoting the concepts of the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road, now commonly referred to jointly as the Belt and Road (B & R) Initiative. The initiative relates to a broad range of disciplines within the social sciences and its implications and goals have been a focus of academic research. This paper explores the origins of the initiative, looking at the evolution of related policies, the geopolitical environment and non-political factors. Although China's government has not explicitly called the Belt and Road Initiative a strategy, it has become a metaphor for Beijing's national development strategy. The paper finds that the Belt and Road Initiative is a continuation of China's ＂going out＂ strategy and of what is referred to in the West as Beijing's ＂string of pearls＂ strategy. Geostrategically, it is a response to the US ＂pivot to Asia＂ to China's east and to triangular US-Russia-China strategic relations to its west The initiative seeks to use culture and non-military capabilities to achieve Beijing's goal of ＂five flows and three joints.＂

並列關鍵字

China ； Belt and Road ； National Development ； Geopolitics ； International Relations

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