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學習機能考量下之適應性加速調整行為

Learning Mechanism and the Flexible Accelerators

摘要


無論是靜態或動態的對偶理論,在進行實證分析時,函數型態的選擇扮演著相當重要的角色。早期關於投資行為的研究多以適應性加速(flexible accelerator)的資本調整方式來探討廠商對資本投入的需求,而應用動態對偶理論的實證文獻除了對於價值函數做了過於缺乏彈性的設定,其中之適應性加速調整更隱含準固定要素以固定速度調整至其長期均衡的水準,這兩個設定均與理論文獻中所得的結果不相符合。本文以范光中與陸怡蕙(2003)之理論模型為基礎,討論非靜態預期與學習機能考量下的適應性加速調整行為,結果發現,在學習機能的考量下,對價值函數的函數型式做較為缺乏彈性的設定是必要的;但準固定要素的調整速度則並非固定不變,廠商對未知資本價格的認知與考慮新增訊息以修正其對參數的估計均將影響準固定要素的調整速度。

並列摘要


This paper investigates the general functional specification of the value function and the behavior of the flexible accelerators, under nonstatic expectations and learning mechanism. In most empirical studies applying the dual approach, either static or dynamic, choices of functional forms are critically constrained. For investment behavior studies, in particular, the assumption of flexible accelerator has been criticized for the restricted functional specification and the assumed constant rates of adjustments. Based on the extended dynamic dual structure in Fann and Luh(2003), we find that it is inevitable to specify a rigid functional form for the value function. However, instead of adjusting in fixed proportions, quasi-fixed factors adjust in variable proportions that are shaped by firms' expectations and learning behavior.

參考文獻


范光中、陸怡蕙(2003)。動態對偶理論。經濟論文。31(4),541-575。
Bray, M. M.(1982).Learning, Estimation, and Stability of Rational Expectations.Journal of Economic Theory.26,318-339.
Cagan, P.(1956).n Studies in the Quantity Theory of Money. Edited by M. Friedman.Chicago:University of Chicago Press.
Chambers, R. G.,R. Lopez(1984).A General, Dynamic, Supply-Response Model.Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics.13,142-154.
Eisner, R.,R. Strotz(1963).In Impacts of Monetary Policy. Edited by C. Englewood.N.J:Prentice-Hall.

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