二次政黨輪替之後－民進黨的改革與發展與臺灣民主

Second Power Transfer: DPP Reform and Development with Taiwan's Democracy

徐永明(Yung-Ming Hsu)

《臺灣民主季刊》 5卷2期 (2008/06) Pp. 149-160

https://doi.org/10.6448/TDQ.200806.0149

摘要

二次政黨輪替一般被視爲是民主鞏固的重要指標，而台灣於2008年的二次政黨輪替，卻伴隨著一黨獨大、反對勢力薄弱等隱憂。在回顧了民進黨歷年來的選舉表現，以及二次政權輪替的內外意涵之後。本文認爲2008年台灣的二次政黨輪替，對內民主體制的鞏固是樂觀的，認爲目前失衡的「一黨獨大」是國、民兩黨消長會際(conjuncture)的結果；但是對於台灣民主的外部條件，乃至於台灣主權條件的發展，則是悲觀的，也就是可能倒退二十年的，不會是台灣內部的民主體制，而是外部的主權條件。

關鍵字

政黨輪替 ； 民主鞏固 ； 民進黨

並列摘要

The fact that Taiwan's political parties have already gone through two power transfers is viewed as a model of democratic consolidation. Nevertheless, the second power transfer of 2008 was accompanied by a one-party monopoly along with weak opposition forces. Looking back at the DPP's electoral performance during these past years and the meaning of the two political party power transfers, this essay gives a positive outlook on democratic consolidation after the 2008 election. This essay also proves that the loss of balance and the one-party monopoly is a result of a conjuncture between the KMT and the DPP. However, concerning the external conditions for Taiwan's democracy-including Taiwan's development of sovereignty-this essay takes a negative view. In summary, Taiwan's democracy has suffered a regression of twenty years, not in terms of Taiwan's internal democratic system, but rather in terms of the external conditions for Taiwan's sovereignty.

並列關鍵字

power transfer ； democratic consolidation ； DPP