消費性金融之個人信用因素分析－以小型信用貸款為例

本研究以還款績效的觀點，分析小型信用貸款中申貸者的特性，讓銀行放款的依據除了判斷正常戶與否之外，進一步以還款績效區分出不同群組的申貸者，以期作不同的放款策略；同時將個人基本變數、該銀行內徵信資料以及聯合徵信資料變數作統計性分類，篩選出代表性因素，研究這些因素如何影響各還款績效群組。研究發現，申貸者可以區分為「還款能力持平穩定—逾期損失低」、「還款能力優良—逾期損失中」、「還款能力低下—逾期損失高」這三群。而從影響各群組的因素中可以瞭解，「還款能力持平穩定—逾期損失低」群組，多為各方面信用持平良好的申貸者；「還款能力優良—逾期損失中」群組，多為具有理財管理特質、財務狀況良好的申貸者；「還款能力低下—逾期損失高」群組，多為具有債務因素、信用表現不佳、申貸動作頻繁的申貸者。

關鍵字

小型信用貸款；信用因素；還款績效；逾期損失

並列摘要

This research analyses the characteristics of small-scale credit loan applicants on the persepective of repay performances，allowing the banks not only to discriminate between good and bad applicants but also to establish different lending tatics for applicants of different repay performance groups。We also analyse the personal characteristics and joint credit informantion of these applicants to sieve out the representative factors，and study how these factors affect the repay performance groups。 Our research discovers that the applicants can be discriminanted into three groups：「low but steady repay ability-low overdue loss」、「good repay ability-acceptable overdue loss」、「very low repay ability-high overdue loss」。We can learn from those factors，that most applicants grouped as 「low but steady repay ability-low overdue loss」also have good credit qualities in other aspect；applicants grouped as 「good repay ability-acceptable overdue loss」 have finance management concept and good financial condition；applicants grouped as 「very low repay ability-high overdue loss」have debt burdens and bad credit qualities。

並列關鍵字

small-scale credit loan ； credit factor ； repay performance ； delinquent loss

參考文獻

Akaike, H.(1974).A new look at the statistical model identification.IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control.19(6),716-723.

Google Scholar

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