足球競賽技術與勝負結果相關性分析：以2016年男子亞足聯U23錦標賽（中華、澳洲、香港、緬甸）為例

The Analysis of Technical and the Result of Win or Defeat in the Asia Football Confederation U23 Championship 2016 Qualifier (Chinese Taipei, Australia, Hong Kong, and Myanmar)

梁建偉(Chien-Wei Liang) ； 謝坤昌(Kuen-Chang Hsieh)

《臺灣體育學術研究》 63期 (2017/12) Pp. 43-53

https://doi.org/10.6590/TJSSR.2017.12.03

摘要

本研究目的針對2016年男子亞足聯U23錦標賽，中華台北所參與的分組賽(其他參賽隊伍分別為澳洲、香港、緬甸)進行比賽過程之重要技術分析，主要探討與勝負關係之相關性。本研究方法以比賽的六場實際錄像影片為分析資料，分別紀錄每隊於對戰比賽中的勝率、進球、失球、射門、射正、傳球、攔截、越位、角球、犯規、黃牌、紅牌等重要技術次數，應用相關性分析與顯著性檢驗。分析結果顯示：與勝負達中、高相關且達顯著的技術分別為進球、失球、射門、射正與傳球。結論：在2016年男子亞足聯U23錦標賽於中華台北所參與的分組賽中，勝負直接與進球、失球、射門、射正有高相關性，亦與傳球次數有中高相關性。

關鍵字

技術 ； 勝負 ； 相關性 ； 傳球

並列摘要

This research discusses the correlation between win and lose games by analyzing technical occurred in the group competitions (other teams included Australia, Hong Kong, and Myanmar) that Chinese Taipei football team plays against in the Asia Football Confederation (AFC) U23 Championship 2016 Qualifier. By applying correlation analysis and significance testing to examine, the research method is based on the data derived from recorded videos of six competitions and about the frequency of technical documented separately as winning percentage, goal, goal against, shot, shot on target, pass, intercept, offside, coroner kick, foul, yellow card, red card and many more for each teams when having competitions. The result of analysis shows that technical which are moderately or highly-correlated and significant to win or lose games are goal, goal against, shot, shot on target and pass. In a conclusion, in the AFC U23 championship qualifier Chinese Taipei football team plays, wining or losing games is highly related to goal, goal against, shot, and shot on target. Furthermore, the number of passes is mid-high correlated to win or lose games.

並列關鍵字

Technical ； win/lose ； correlation ； pass

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