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  • 學位論文

越南房地產市場的投資機會之研究

Research on investment opportunities of Vietnam’s real estate market

指導教授 : 呂麒麟
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摘要


此研究廣泛的介紹近年來越南的房地產市場(VREM),並總體概述此市場,後續討論利益、機會、潛在的問題和風險。房地產市場為國民經濟中最有價值和最重要的市場之一。它與金融貨幣市場、建築市場、建築材料市場和勞動力市場等其他領域有直接的關係。因此,房地產市場的有效管理與成長將促進經濟社會的發展,並且吸引更多的資金投入,使城鄉地區可持續的發展,邁向國家工業化與現代化。2009年因為世界經濟危機的影響,使 VREM 陷入了“凍結”的狀態。近年來,越南政府一貫執行一系列措施和政策,穩定資金的來源,解決大量未出售的房屋,為市場復甦和發展帶來機會。根據許多外國專家分析的看法,越南的房地產市場正在經歷復甦週期,以準備進入繁榮階段。本研究將對於正在復甦中的越南房地產市場的近況與越南政府法律修改以及使用經濟手段與簽訂多國經濟協定的政府政策的影響提出看法。此外,本研究認為,政府政策雖然有改變市場的趨勢,增加房地產的交易和挽救市場的投資,但也存在投資者的潛在風險,如對社會福利的負面影響。因此,本研究為投資者提出利益最大化與消除風險的建議,也建議越南政府應該吸引更多國內外房地產業的投資者.

並列摘要


This research is a comprehensive introduction to Vietnam’s real estate market (VREM) in recent years and gives a general overview of the market then goes on to discuss the benefits, opportunities, potential problems and risks. Real estate market is one of the most valuable and significant sectors of national economy. It has a direct relationship with other fields such as the financial and monetary market, construction market, construction materials market and labor market. Thus, the effective management and growth of the real estate market will significantly contribute to promote the economic - social development as well as create the ability to attract the investment capital and practically support the sustainable expanding of urban and rural area towards industrialization and modernization process of the country. Since 2009, VREM has become quiet and fallen into the "frozen" state because of the influences of the world economic crisis. In recent years, Vietnam’s government has consistently implemented a series of measures and policies to stabilize the capital sources and resolve the large amount of unsold housing in order to create opportunities for the market recovery and development. According to the perceptions of many foreign expert analyses, Vietnam’s real estate market is going through the recovery cycle to prepare for entering the boom phase. This paper will give an insight about recent situation of VREM and the impacts of Vietnam’s government policies in recovery efforts to promote this market sector by changing and amending code of laws, using economic instruments and engaging in bilateral and multilateral economic agreements. Besides, the research argues that though the government policies have many positive influences to change the market trends, increase transactions and retrieve the market investment, however, also exist the potential risks for investors such as negative impacts to social welfare. Accordingly, the research provides recommendations for investor to maximize benefit and eliminate risks as well as suggest Vietnam government to attract more both domestic and foreign investors from real estate industry.

參考文獻


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