中共十八大後新領導階層之海洋戰略

The Marine Strategy of new Leadership post the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China

鄭朝升(Chao-Sheng Cheng)

指導教授 ： 黃永成

義守大學/管理學院/管理碩博士班/碩士(2017年)

摘要

台灣海洋上的戰略困境主要係長期以來的舊思維影響所致；回顧過去半世紀以來的台灣戰略規劃，從早期1970s以前的「反攻大陸」、1980s的「攻守一體」、1990s的「守勢防衛」到目前21世紀初的「有效嚇阻、防衛固守」等演變，事實上所呈現出來的戰略構想，並未脫離面對中國強大軍事威脅下始終追隨敵人意志且採取正面抗衡、逐步因應的思維。此一思維的最大盲點，在於雖然認知到台灣周邊海域是維護國家安全的天然屏障，但是卻未能善加運用四周海洋作為戰略的有效縱深，以致於無法徹底扭轉台海不利態勢下的困境。據此，如何在最球均積極發展海洋戰略的佈局下，我國亦針對對岸在十八大後政軍經心不斷跳躍發展，我國應有相關對應作為以為因應。
本文從十八大後習近平海洋政策為研究基礎，輔以相關資料文獻，以作為海洋國家的我們應有之深遠及適切之佈局。

關鍵字

海洋戰略 ； 十八大

並列摘要

The strategic dilemma of Taiwan's oceans is mainly due to the long-term thinking of the old thinking. Looking back on the strategic planning of Taiwan in the past half century, from the early 70s of the "counterattack", the "offensive and defensive" of the 1980s, To the present early 21st century, "effective deterrence, defensive stick" and other evolution, in fact, presented by the strategic concept, not from the face of China's strong military threat to follow the enemy's will and take a positive contraction, and gradually follow the thinking. The biggest blind spot of this thinking is that although it is recognized that the surrounding waters of Taiwan is a natural barrier to safeguard national security, it has not been able to make good use of the surrounding ocean as an effective depth of the strategy so that it can not completely reverse the dilemma of the adverse situation in the Taiwan Strait. According to this, how to actively develop the layout of the marine strategy in the most spherical, China is also facing the other side in the eighteenth army after the continuous development of the military, China should have the corresponding as a response.
This paper is based on the 18th century study of Xihai Pinghai marine policy, supplemented by the relevant literature, as a marine country we should have far and appropriate layout.

並列關鍵字

marine strategy ； 18th Party Congress

參考文獻

謝游麟（2013）。論我國經營南海之困境與策略。國防雜誌，第28卷，第1期，頁50-51。

林賢參（2016）。日本對南海議題之態度。全球政治評論，第53期，頁24。

Alastair Jain Johnston,(1995), Cultural Realism: Strategic Culture And Grand Strategy In Chinese History, New Jersey: Princeton University, , p. 3.

Arthur Waldron, (1994), Chinese Strategy from the Fourteenth to the Seventeenth Centuries in Williamson Murray, MacGregor Knox & Alvin Bernstein, eds. The Making of Strategy: Rulers, States, and War, New York: Cambridge University Press, pp. 85-114.

一、中文部分