While the long-term impact of the Trump-Tsai phone call remains to be seen, on its own, the phone call changed little about the content of relations between the United States and Taiwan. In terms of conduct, however, the call was meaningful and signals a positive trajectory in future relations between United States and Taiwan. Statements and actions taken by the People’s Republic of China's (PRC) will likely continue to be directed against Taiwan. Beginning even before her inauguration in May, Beijing has been trying to pin the cooling down of cross-Strait relations on the incoming Tsai administration. If the PRC tries to further punish Taiwan through coercive means, it will likely further alienate the people of Taiwan. The U.S. approach to the trilateral relationship between Washington, Taipei, and Beijing requires recalibration. A continuation of a passive approach by the United States that in effect defers to the PRC’s irredentist claim over Taiwan will lead to a widening sovereignty gap in the Taiwan Strait and greater instability. There is wide latitude or U.S. and Taiwan policymakers to work within the existing framework, but first it requires a clearly stated agenda of soft-balancing in the Taiwan Strait.
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