Association between Dengue Outbreak and Weather in Southern Taiwan, 1988

1988年高雄地區登革熱流行與氣候之相關

盧勝男(Sheng-Nan Lu) ； 陳田柏(Tyen-Po Chen) ； 鐘瓊玲(Chung-Ling Chung)

《中華民國公共衛生學會雜誌》 10卷2期 (1990/06) Pp. 114-119

https://doi.org/10.6288/JNPHARC1990-10-02-05

摘要

為了解雨量及氣溫對登革熱病例數改變的影響，於民國77年7月1日至11月30日收集高雄醫學院附設醫院急診室每天全部病患和成人發燒病患的病例數，並以成人腹痛病患為對照組，此外從中央氣象局取得同時段每日的雨量和平均氣溫，加以分析。結果發現全部病患和成人發燒病患的每日病例數於9月初起開始增加，而11月下旬逐漸減少。成人發燒病患的每日病例數在下雨後的第18天有顯著增加，而在平均氣溫降至攝氏25度以下後的第五天減少。本研究結果顯示氣候變化可作為日後預估登革熱流行、選擇最佳防治時機、調配醫療資源及評估防治成效的參考。

並列摘要

To identify the effects of rainfall and temperature on changes of dengue cases, parameters such as numbers of total patients, adults with fever and adults with abdominal pain from Emergency Service of the Kaohsiung Medical College Hospital, daily precipitation and mean temperatures of Kaohsiung City from July 1st to November 30th were analyzed. Using adult cases of abdominal pain as a control, total emergent patients and adult patients with fever increased from the beginning of September and decreased after late November. The adult febrile cases significantly increased at the 18th day after rainy days and decreased from the 5th day after mean temperature less than 25℃. Our results indicated that the weather could be used as a reference guide for outbreak prediction, medical care resource allocation during dengue outbreak and evaluation effectiveness of its control.

並列關鍵字

Dengue ； Precipitation ； Temperature