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非關稅措施的貿易保護效果:對兩岸經濟合作架構協議之意涵

Quantifying Trade Effects of Non-Tariff Measures: Policy Implications for ECFA

摘要


在兩岸經濟合作架構協議下,關稅障礙可望削減,惟非關稅措施的貿易障礙則進一步彰顯,故我應正視大陸非關稅措施的規範和運用情形。非關稅措施因具靈活性、針對性、隱蔽性和歧視性,存在市場進入限制效果,而為自由貿易協定的重要議題。在中國大陸資料欠缺下,本研究以歐盟和日本為對象,量化分析發現,非關稅措施具備貿易扭曲效果,說明未來兩岸經濟合作架構協議應特別關注相關議題之協商。

並列摘要


Tariff barriers to cross-Strait trade are expected to be reduced under the ECFA but non-tariff measures (NTMs) will increase. NTMs are tightly connected to national administrative activities, whose nature is relatively flexible, goal-oriented, censored and discriminatory. Their effect on limiting market access is often greater than that of tariff measures. NTMs may reduce imports as the presence of NTMs may lead to higher domestic prices. The specification and application of NTMs by Mainland China should be examined to ensure fair market access for Taiwan. NTMs is an important issue in FTAs. This study attempts to quantify the effects of NTMs, with the Tobit model applied to EU and Japan due to the lack of NTMs data for Mainland China. Results indicate the potential for economic benefits from further liberalization of NTMs is likely to be substantial, therefore a future cross-Strait ECFA should be negotiated with this in mind.

參考文獻


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