Title

緬甸外國直接投資與經濟成長之動態關係

Translated Titles

The Dynamic Relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Myanmar

DOI

10.6342/NTU201601429

Authors

李娟娟

Key Words

外國直接投資 ; 經濟成長 ; 誤差修正模型 ; Granger因果關係 ; 緬甸 ; Foreign Direct Investment ; Economic Growth ; Error Correction Model ; Granger-Causality ; Myanmar

PublicationName

臺灣大學農業經濟學研究所學位論文

Volume or Term/Year and Month of Publication

2016年

Academic Degree Category

碩士

Advisor

雷立芬

Content Language

英文

English Abstract

This study has employed error-correction model (ECM) and standard Granger-causality test to examine the dynamic relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth in Myanmar using annual time series data over the period 1971-2014. The empirical results show that time series of FDI and GDP are non-stationary at level but they become stationary at first difference. The Co-integration results establish the existence of a long-run relationship between the two variables. From the results of ECM, there exists a uni-directional long-run causality running from GDP to FDI and the coefficient of error correction term is negative and highly significant at 1% level, confirming the long run equilibrium relationship between the two variables. In the short run, the associated coefficient of lagged FDI and lagged GDP are all statistically significant, implying a bi-directional causality between FDI and GDP. The Standard Granger-causality results reveal that FDI has a significant positive impact on GDP in the short run but not vice versa. In general, the results can be interpreted as although FDI has a direct effect on economic growth in the short run but economic growth performance is an important driving force of FDI inflows into Myanmar in the long run.

Topic Category 生物資源暨農學院 > 農業經濟學研究所
生物農學 > 農業
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