中國大陸參與國際核裁軍建制態度的變化－國際社會化或調適學習？

The Change of China's Policy towards International Nuclear Disarmament Regime: International Socialization or Adaptation Learning

游智偉(Chih-Wei Yu)

《政治學報》 52期 (2011/12) Pp. 29-64

https://doi.org/10.6229/CPSR.2012.52.02

摘要

本文試圖透過以調過適中心的學習與國際社會化概念解釋為何中國大陸對類似建制的參與態度變化並不是源於國際社會化，而是源於因勢制宜的學習概念，本文的研究成果有三：其一，在參與全面禁止核試爆條約談判的同時，中國大陸核武試爆的頻率也增加，而即使在制定出口管制規定後，中國大陸部分國營企業也持續出口管制品，故中國大陸並未接受國際核裁軍或防擴散建制蘊含的價值觀；其二，在北京其備一定嚇阻能力後，核武擴散不利維持其嚇阻能力，故對北京來說，參與建制帶來的利益大於不參與的利益，此為促使中國大陸參與的動力；其三，從中國大陸對國際防擴散建制與伊朗的態度來說，北京參與政策的變化更可能起源於其對不同時期的世界局勢與安全威脅的認知，故其在全球層次遵守建制，但卻在區域層次繼續違規出口管制品。

關鍵字

中國大陸核裁軍政策 ； 國際防擴散建制 ； 國際社會化 ； 調適學習

並列摘要

In this essay, based on the differences between international socialization and adaptation learning, I try to explain why China's participating policy towards international nuclear disarmament regimes is not stemmed from international socialization, but learning process. The achievements of this essay are as below: firstly, when China negotiated on CTBT, China has also increased its nuclear tests, and even after the regulation of exports and imports has been set up, partial state owned enterprises have still continued to export the restricted goods; according to those two evidences, China does not accept the value behind international nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation regimes. Secondly, since the proliferation of nuclear weapon is harmful to the capability of deterrence, for China, after obtaining certain capability, the interests caused by participating in those regimes are better than non-participation so that is China's motive to participate in. Finally, according to China's policy towards international non-proliferation and Iran, the reason why China's policy has been changed may be their different perception of world circumstances and threats in different periods and levels; therefore, China has obey the regime in global level but continue to disobey the regulations in regional level.

並列關鍵字

adaptation learning ； China's nuclear disarmament policy ； international socialization ； non-proliferation regimes

參考文獻

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