Food Security in the Asia-Pacific: Climate Change, Phosphorus, Ozone and other Environmental Challenges

亞太地區的糧食安全：氣候變遷、磷、臭氧層及其他環境的挑戰

Colin D Butler

《Asia Pacific Journal of Clinical Nutrition》 18卷4期 (2009/12) Pp. 590-597

https://doi.org/10.6133/apjcn.2009.18.4.20

摘要

這是兩篇討論亞太地區未來糧食安全性挑戰的第二篇文章。討論重點放在五個機制，藉由它們被概念化為途徑，使得第一篇文章中提到的馬爾薩斯悲觀的情境，變得明顯。這些機制為（1）氣候的改變（2）水資源的缺乏（3）對流層中臭氧的污染（4）磷及常規石油的急迫短缺（5）未來的人口流離、衝突及管理不善間的可能交互作用。本篇文章的結論是，要使糧食安全性永續地改善，需要從社會對環境的施為、人口成長、農業研究及分配的權利、機會與配額來做徹底的改變。

關鍵字

氣候變化 ； 糧食安全 ； 磷 ； 石油峰值 ； 永續性 ； 變遷

並列摘要

This is the second of two articles on challenges to future food security in the Asia Pacific region. It focuses on five mechanisms, which can be conceptualised as pathways by which pessimistic Malthusian scenarios, described in the first paper, may become manifest. The mechanisms are (1) climate change, (2) water scarcity, (3) tropospheric ozone pollution, (4) impending scarcity of phosphorus and conventional oil and (5) the possible interaction between future population displacement, conflict and poor governance. This article concludes that a sustainable improvement in food security requires a radical transformation in society's approach to the environment, population growth, agricultural research and the distribution of rights, opportunities and entitlements.

並列關鍵字

climate change ； food security ； phosphorus ； peak oil ； sustainability transition