- 期刊
美軍軍事決策程序的理性論證
Rational Proof of the Military Decision Making Process in the U.S. Army (MDMP)
摘要
一、美軍「軍事決策程序」（MDMP）係以「理性抉擇」所發展出提供指揮官及其參謀遂行計畫及命令作為的分析性工具。二、「軍事決策程序」是一套邏輯思維的方法，是要降低或消弭各種非理性因素的影響，使產出的行動方案能符合任務與指揮官企圖之達成。三、美軍對於「軍事決策程序」的複雜與耗時，在執行階段可否讓指揮官及其參謀有效運用是被質疑與檢討之重點，且據此另外提出「洞悉性計畫作為」（RPD）進行論證及試圖精進補強之。四、因為使用MDMP及RPD兩種軍事決策程序的指揮官或參謀，本身存於壓力下所可能受非理性因素影響而產生的偏差，若未能瞭解及消弭的話，必然可能影響決策程序之產出結果。
並列摘要
1. The ”military decision making process (MDMP)” of U.S. Army, provides commanders and staffs an analytic tool to conduct plans and orders, is developed based on the ”rational choice” theory.2. The ”military decision making process” is a set of logical thinking methods for reducing or preventing the influence of various unrational factors, which creats a course of action that conforms to the missions and enables the commander's intent to be reached.3. Whether the complicated and time consuming process of MDMP could be efficaciously performed by the commanders and staffs during the execution phase is still questionable and criticizable. So, the U.S. Army proposes the ”Recognition-Primed Decision Making Model (RPD)” to be expounded and proved in order to improve and reinforce the MDMP.4. The commanders or staffs may have aberrations under the influence of irrational factors resulted from pressure when utilizing MDMP and RPD. Failing to understand and prevent the aberrations may cause the output of the decision making process to go wrong.