Influence of Climatic Factors on Apricot (Prunus armeniaca L.) Yield in the Malatya Province of Turkey

Orhan Gunduz ； Vedat Ceyhan ； Zeki Bayramoglu

《Asian Journal of Agricultural Sciences》 3卷2期 (2011/03) Pp. 150-155

並列摘要

Apricot (Prunus armeniaca L.) is one of the most important export crops in Turkey and Turkey is the leading fresh and dried apricot producer all over the world. Malatya province is the main production area in Turkey. Apricot yield has fluctuations because of climate in Malatya region. The study analyzed the relationship between climate factors and apricot yield by using time series data belong to the climatic variables such as temperature, humidity and precipitation during the time period of 1978-2006. All climatic variables were examined associated with the stages of planting, flowering and harvesting, separately. Linear regression method was used to estimate the model parameters. Research model showed that the most magnificence climatic factors on apricot yield were minimum temperature, precipitation and humidity in flowering period and maximum temperature in planting period. The study suggested that choosing suitable apricot variety and protecting the apricot orchards via technical measures in order to reduce adverse effects of fluctuations on climatic variables.

並列關鍵字

Agriculture ； climate change ； linear regression model