Quantitative Risk Assessment of Vibrio parahaemolyticus in Mytilus edulis in China

Huiwen Hu ； Yuan Wu ； Xun Jin ； Tong Shu ； Hui Ruan

《Advance Journal of Food Science and Technology》 13卷2期 (2017/02) Pp. 72-76

https://doi.org/10.19026/ajfst.13.3768

摘要

The objective of this study was to conduct Vibrio parahaemolyticus risk assessment associated with the consumption of Mytilus edulis among the people of Zhejiang Province, China. It was based on the quantitative risk assessment framework developed by the Codex Alimentarius Commission. In order to calculate the quantitative risk assessment, the data generated in this study as well as data gathered from other reports were taken into account. The exposure assessment of Vp was conducted with estimation of its density in Mytilus edulis by using Monte Carlo simulation and considering cooking and consumption modes. The Matlab software package, version 7.10.0.499 (R2010a) in combination with Microsoft-Excel was used to run the Monte Carlo simulations. We found that the probability of illness for people eating Mytilus edulis per meal was 8.4×10^(-7), which means the incidence rate of illness/10,000,000 population/year is 8.4 if each person eats 10 meals of Mytilus edulis in summer.

關鍵字

Monte carlo simulation ； Mytilus edulis ； quantitative risk assessment ； Vibrio parahaemolyticus