中國與巴西貿易的發展現狀與前景分析：基於產品空間的視角

The Status and Prospect of Trade between China and Brazil: Analysis on the Product Space

唐俊(Jun Tang)

《拉丁美洲經貿季刊》 24期 (2016/03) Pp. 2-18

摘要

利用豪斯曼等人提出的產品空間理論框架，可以發現中國和巴西的貿易高速發展的背後各自顯性比較優勢發展的軌跡，依此繪製出的產品空間圖顯示中巴貿易的產品集中性較差，依存度不高。中巴貿易在未來有較好的發展潛力，但貿易摩擦在所難免。中巴雙方應該協力改善貿易結構，中國也應該加大對巴西「走出去」的力度。

關鍵字

中國 ； 巴西 ； 貿易 ； 顯性比較優勢 ； 產品空間

並列摘要

Based on the theoretical framework Product Space proposed by Hausmann et al, we can find the respective revealed comparative advantage behind the rapid development of trade between China and Brazil and draw the product space diagram. It shows products traded between China and Brazil have poor centrality and low Proximity. Therefore, we can predict a good development of trade between China and Brazil in the future, but the trade friction can be hardly avoided. The two sides should work together to improve the trade structure. The intensity of Chinese ＂Going out＂ strategy should also be promoted to Brazil.

並列關鍵字

China ； Brazil ； Trade ； Revealed comparative advantages ； Product Space