- 期刊
中共「094型」潛艦發展與核威懾能力淺析
Analysis of The Development And Nuclear Deterrence Capabilities for PRC's ＂Type 094＂ SSBN
摘要
一、現今核武強權如美國、俄羅斯均具有三種類型之核武投射載台，此三種類型分別為陸、海、空投射，也可稱為「核三位一體」（Nuclear Triad）；而中共當前也朝此「核三位一體」方向發展，現已具備陸、海兩種類型投射方式。二、中共目前的海基核武投射儎具主要為「094」和「094A」兩型核動力彈道導彈潛艦；另外中共亦持續增加核彈頭數量、發展核彈道潛艦，試圖強化其核武實力並縮小與美國的差距，力求降低美國對其核威懾程度，也增加對美國的核威懾效應。當前美、「中」衝突一觸即發，因此有必要探究中共彈道潛艦的核武投射能力，並瞭解「094型」潛艦可能的作戰運用。三、中共為建立其核動力潛艦安全的通道與發射水域，勢必會持續加強南海及西太平洋的戰場經營，以增強對美國的核威懾。而我國位於「第一島鏈」關鍵戰略位置，更必須注意「094型」潛艦作戰能力及活動範圍是否繼續向臺灣東部延伸，同時瞭解其對我國產生的影響，並及早採取因應作為，才能真正維護我國家安全。
並列摘要
1. The powerful nuclear forces ownership countries such as the United States and Russia, which have three types of nuclear weapons delivery platforms. These three types are land-based, sea-based, and air platforms, which are also named ＂Nuclear Triad＂. PRC is keeping progressing to develop towards the ＂Nuclear Triad＂ direction, now they've possessed the two of them, land-based and sea-based. 2. PRC's current sea-based nuclear forces are mainly the ＂094＂ and ＂094A＂ SSBN. In addition, PRC continues to increase the number of nuclear warheads and develop SSBN so as to strengthen its nuclear power and shrink the gap with the United States, and seeks to reduce the impact of U.S. nuclear deterrence and increase its impact of nuclear deterrence on the United States. The conflict in the two countries is seemed to be going to break out. Therefore, it is necessary to explore the nuclear weapon delivery and operational capabilities of the ＂094＂ SSBN. 3. In order to establish safe passages and launch positions for PRC's SSBN, PRC is keeping continuously to strengthen its battlefield operations in the South China Sea and the Western Pacific for increasing its nuclear deterrence against the United States. However, Taiwan is located in the important strategic position of the ＂First Island Chain＂, we must focus on whether the operational capabilities and range of the＂094＂SSBN extend to the east of Taiwan. Moreover, by knowing the facts affecting us and previously reacting are the key way to keep our country safe.