一、「北溪管道」遭人為蓄意炸毀,釀成歐洲地區天然氣價格不斷攀高,導致全球性的能源危機,帶動了歐洲人民對政府不滿的情緒不斷上升,間接地升高了全球地緣戰略的風險性。二、德、法兩國在面對經濟與能源的問題,出現不同的因應策略,德國思考如何維繫其經濟的發展,希望能在美、俄之間取得平衡,並尋找如何結束「俄烏戰爭」的途徑。因而政治立場朝向「政/經分合」,政治安全與美國緊密相連;經貿領域主張與俄羅斯及中共合作。三、法國方面希望能與德國共同組成歐洲聯合軍,以主導歐洲地區的安全事務,同德國立場一樣,政治與經貿分開處理,強調歐洲仍應與中共保持密切的經貿合作,較符合歐洲國家的利益。四、中共利用當前「俄烏戰爭」的發展趨勢,正展開大外交的戰略作為。我國面對「中」、美大國競爭,需謹慎處理對外政策,以防止得罪任何一方,而讓國家利益受損。
1. The deliberate blow-up of the Nord Stream pipeline has led to rising natural gas prices in Europe, leading to a global energy crisis, driving up European people's dissatisfaction with the government, and indirectly increasing the risk of global geostrategy. 2. Germany and France have different coping strategies in the face of economic and energy problems. Germany is thinking about how to maintain its economic development, hoping to strike a balance between the United States and Russia, and looking for ways to end the "Russia-Ukraine War". Therefore, the political stance is towards political/economic separation: political security is closely linked to the United States; the economic and trade field advocates cooperation with Russia and the CCP. 3. France hopes to form a joint European army with Germany to lead security affairs in the European region. Same as Germany's position; politics and economics and trade are dealt with separately, emphasizing that Europe should still maintain close economic and trade cooperation with the CCP, which is more in line with the interests of European countries. 4. Taking advantage of the current development trend of the "Russia- Ukraine War", the CCP is launching a strategic act of grand diplomacy. Facing the competition between "my country" and the United States, our country needs to handle its foreign policy carefully to prevent offending one party and damaging the national interests.