摘要
The 2024 election highlights the success of Donald Trump's perseverance and campaign strategy, with significant implications for U.S. foreign policy. His presidency could influence the timeline for ending the war in Ukraine and the management of Xi Jinping's actions in the Taiwan Strait. Trump's election is likely to shape the future of U.S.-China relations and impact the economic power dynamic between the two countries, potentially exacerbated by tariffs. Taiwan's leadership in semiconductors faces new challenges, while its long-term defense budget remains insufficient. Under increasing military threats from China and in response to Trump's likely demands, Taiwan will need to prioritize defense improvements and preparations. The extent of Trump's support for Taiwan's defense will be closely watched. As a critical asset to the U.S., China, and the world, Taiwan holds a pivotal role in technology and cannot afford to be neglected. The potential deterioration of U.S.-China economic relations and stagnation in China's annual economic growth may compel Xi to prioritize relations with the U.S. over a focus on Taiwan. Observing whether this shift could alter Xi's agenda for a possible Taiwan campaign will be important. Nonetheless, Taiwan remains under threat from a potential Chinese invasion or blockade in the future.