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以孫子兵法觀點檢視中國新冠疫情時期的危機管理運作過程

A Study of the Crisis Management of the COVID-19 Pandemic by the Art of War in China

摘要


危機不一定會導致災難發生,只要管理得宜,做好事前的防範與準備工作,也能化危機為轉機,並將傷害與損失程度降到最低。為汲取古人智慧,向先賢取經,本文試從孫子兵法的角度來探討中國大陸此次新冠疫情期間的危機管理運作過程,一方面賦予孫子兵法新的研究思考方向,另一方面也提前為之後可能再次發生的重大危機與災難事件做好預防。以孫子兵法為關鍵詞,透過兩岸知名學術網路引擎進行搜尋後確認,當前被引用次數和頻率較多,且撰寫內容和危機管理議題相關者,包含戰略運籌、作戰指揮、戰場機變等章節,其中又以謀攻、虛實、九變等篇幅最多,而這恰與知名危機管理機構FEMA所主張之危機管理三階段論契合。透過內容分析法進行孫子兵法和疫情時期的相關政策規範比對,可知中國大陸在危機管理前置階段非常謹慎,相當重視風險監控與情勢分析,危機管理即時應變過程中表現得相當靈活變通,布局得宜且未因病毒的詭變而自亂陣腳,也使得在危機管理中末期階段可以做好復原與重建之善後工作,從而贏得各界好評。

關鍵字

危機管理 孫子兵法 新冠疫情 謀攻 虛實 九變

並列摘要


We can turn crises into opportunities and minimize injuries and losses if focusing on prevention and preparedness of crisis management. In order to learn from the wisdom of the ancients and learn from the sages, we attempted to discuss the crisis management and operation process of China's COVID-19 pandemic from the perspective of the Art of War, and try to give it a new direction of research and thinking, and we want to prevent major crises and disasters. Using the Art of War as the keyword, it was confirmed through a search conducted by academic network engines on both sides of the strait that it is currently cited more frequently and more frequently, and the content of the writing is related to crisis management topics, including chapters such as strategic planning, operational command, and battlefield changes, among which the most pages are plotting for attack, virtual and real, and nine changes, which is in line with the theory of crisis management advocated by FEMA. China mainland is very cautious in the pre-crisis management stage, attaches great importance to risk monitoring and situation analysis, and is quite flexible in the immediate response process of crisis management, with appropriate layout and no self-confusion due to the treacherous changes of the virus, enables the recovery and reconstruction of the aftermath in the middle and late stages of crisis management.

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