Fuzzy Model-Based S-curve Regression for Working Capital Construction Management with Statistical Method

模糊模型建構的S曲線回歸與統計方法探討營建管理營運資金問題

Ting-Ya Hsieh(謝定亞) ； Morris Hsiao-Lung Wang(王小龍) ； Cheng-Wu Chen(陳震武) ； Chung-Hung Tsai(蔡忠宏) ； Shang-En Yu(余尚恩)

《中正嶺學報》 35卷1期 (2006/11) Pp. 1-8+10-15

摘要

The regression curve, obtained for project control of large-scale or small-scale engineering, is smoothly connected by a Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy model. A sample of data taken from Department of Rapid Transit Systems, Taipei City Government is used to demonstrate the concept of the proposed regression model using statistical method. This developed S-curve equation could be used in a variety of applications related to project control in the working capital management of construction firms.

關鍵字

fuzzy model ； fuzzy S-curve regression ； working capital management

並列摘要

本文以最佳化方法找出的S曲線上下界，可用來取代以往統計學信賴區間的方式。文中，本研究收集捷運標案之估驗計價資料，進行S-curve實證分析與模型建構，以瞭解專案執行過程之短期財務需求，增進對現金管理問題的了解。此研究方法可應用於建設公司在營運資金管理的計畫控制相關問題。

並列關鍵字

模糊理論 ； 模糊S曲線回歸 ； 營運資金管理