本論文針對花蓮縣住宿產業,探討民宿產業的快速成長對當地一般旅 館業的影響。過去有許多文獻探討著花蓮縣國際觀光旅館的發展,然而與民宿發展相關的討論則相對非常稀少,因此本文將著重於探討花蓮縣民宿房間數供給的成長,是否對花蓮縣旅館業的平均收益與平均客房收益造成衝擊。本文使用臺灣旅宿網2009 年至2017 年花蓮縣住宿產業的統計資料,並使用花蓮縣民政處所提供的戶數與農地面積做為工具變數,以2SLS 模型進行估計。根據結果,在非旅遊旺季時期,花蓮縣民宿房間數的增加並不會對旅館業經營面產生顯著的影響,然而當旅遊旺季時,民宿房間數成長10%,將使旅館平均收益與旅館平均客房收益分別下降0.7%與0.63%。接著本文進一步分析造成旅館平均收益與旅館平均客房收益下降的原因,可以發現,不論是否在旅遊旺季,民宿的成長對旅館的價格皆沒有顯著的影響,然而在旅遊旺季時,當民宿房間數增 加10%,將導致旅館的住宿人次下降0.82%,此結果代表著旅館並不傾向透過降價與民宿競爭,因此旅遊旺季時,當旅館因應供不應求的情況而提高平均房價,將導致價格彈性較大的房客轉而選擇民宿,因此旅館住宿人數的下降,將使旅館業經營表現受到衝擊。
This study examines the effect of B&B Industry on the local hotel industry in Hualien County. After a review of the literature, most of the studies have focused on International tourist hotels in Hualien, but the research about the economic influence of B&B industry is scattered. The aim of this paper is to estimate the impact of the rapid growth of B&B supply in Hualien to the average income and revenue per available room of Hotel Industry. The data comes from “TaiwanStay” website from 2009 to 2017, which provides Taiwan accommodation industry statistical data. In my empirical result, 2SLS regression shows that when the demand is relatively low in Hualien County, the B&B room supply growth has no significant impact on hotels performance. However in high-demand periods, the B&B room supply increases by 10% would cause the hotel average income and RevPAR decreased by 0.7% and 0.63%, respectively.