並列摘要
For the readiness reason ,the quantity of ammunition storage is large .Due to the store environment is not under ideal condition-high temperature and humid ,drives ammunition to decay easily and causes unsafety problems. Sometimes,it leads to an adverse effect of operation efficiency and quality. This research through the history data collects and literature review, to find the main factors of ammunition decaying ,and using statistics analyze to build the ammunition decaying model. Further, the model helps to forecast and estimate the ratio of ammunition decaying. The purposes of this research are to offer suggestions and improvement to make decision of ammunition policy，and reduce the unserviceable ammunition producing and enhance the operation efficiency.