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  • 學位論文

信用違約交換之定價

On Pricing Credit Default Swaps

指導教授 : 鄧惠文
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摘要


近年來,衍生性金融商品發展越來越蓬勃。在這篇論文中,我們建構了一個CDS 的模型,假設違約強度服從CIR 模型。我們將此模型應用在四個歐洲國家的主權 債券的CDS 上,分別是希臘、葡萄牙、西班牙以及義大利。論文中顯示其參數如 何去影響CDS 價格以及CIR 模型可以配適大部分的資料。最後,本論文發現CIR 模型無法配適全部的市場資料。

關鍵字

CIR model CDS reduced-form model

並列摘要


This paper presents a pricing framework of credit default swap (CDS), where the default intensity is driven by Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model. CDS spreads from four European countries,such as Greece, Portugal, Spain, and Italy are considered in the empirical analysis. The paper investigates how the parameters effects CDS spreads, and show the adequacy of the CIR model for most cases. This paper finally summarizes situations where CIR model doesn''t fit the market observations.

並列關鍵字

CIR model CDS reduced-form model

參考文獻


Altman, E. I., B. Brady, A. Resti, and A. Sironi (2005). The link between default and recovery rates: Theory, empirical evidence, and implications. Journal of Business 76, 2203-2227.
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Black, F. and J. C. Cox (1976). Valuing corporate securities: Some effects of bond indenture provisions. The Journal of Finance 31, 351-367.
Black, F. and M. Scholes (1973). The pricing of options and corporate liabilities. The Journal of Political Economy 81, 637-654.
Chib, S. and E. Greenberg (1995). Understanding the metropolis-hastings argorithm. The American statistician 49.

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