缺水時期供水管理決策支援系統之研究

A Study on Decision Support Systems for Water Supply Management during Water Shortage Periods

萬象(S. Wan) ； 廖元熙(Y.S. Liaw) ； 張文綺(W.C. Chang)

《鑛冶：中國鑛冶工程學會會刊》 44卷1期 (2000/03) Pp. 87-97

https://doi.org/10.30069/MM.200003_44(1).0009

摘要

本研究利用水資源系統分析方法與整合資訊技術，探討專家系統應用在乾旱或缺水時期供水管理的可行性，並發展出一套實用化的乾旱管理決策支援系統（簡稱DMDSS），具有自動化與整合功能之特性；其主要功能在於分析乾旱發展趨勢、評估缺水程度，並提供乾旱管理方案，能提供決策者一項有力的決策支援工具。新竹地區工業用水乾旱問題為本研究之分析案例。

關鍵字

乾旱管理 ； 決策支援系統 ； 專家系統

並列摘要

The development of an integrated decision support system to assist in drought management (called DMDSS) is presented in this paper. Decision making in drought management relies on the information of hydrological analysis, drought mitigation alternatives and social-economical response. A decision support system with the advantages of the automation and integration capabilities can provide the decision-makers a promising tool in helping the drought management. Through a user-friendly interface, the decision-makers can be well informed in an interactive manner. By using expert system, the DMDSS model also incorporates the heuristic expertise of experts. The expert system aids in interpreting the model results and uses heuristic expertise to recommend drought management plans. The case study of DMDSS prototype is the drought management at the Science-Based Industrial Park at Hsinchu (SBIP).

並列關鍵字

Drought management ； Decision support system ； Expert system