台灣耗能產業二氧化碳排放驅動力之研究

Study on the Driving Forees of CO_2 Emissions for Energy Intensive Industries in Taiwan

陳彥尹(Y.Y. Chen) ； 吳榮華(J.H. Wu) ； 黃韻勳(Y.H. Huang)

《鑛冶：中國鑛冶工程學會會刊》 52卷3期 (2008/09) Pp. 40-52

https://doi.org/10.30069/MM.200809_52(3).0004

摘要

民國80年至90年間我國二氧化碳排放量約成長80%，工業部門佔此增加量的55%。其中，六大耗能產業（鋼鐵、石化、電子、人纖、造紙、水泥）佔工業部門總排放量的75%。因此，掌握影響耗能產業二氧化碳排放的主要因素，以有效達成減量政策目標，為政策研擬時之關鍵。本文應用「二階KLEM投入產出結構分解法」（two-tier KLEM input-output structural decomposition analysis; KLEM I-O），從最終需求、要素替代、技術進步及進出口貿易變動等驅動力，分析民國80－90年間六大耗能產業的二氧化碳排放趨勢，及其對二氧化碳排放量變動之影響，以作為減量政策研擬的參考。

關鍵字

二氧化碳排放 ； 二階KLEM投入產出結構

並列摘要

Taiwan CO_2 emission increased by approximately 80% from the years 1991 to 2001. The CO_2 emission from the industrial sectors amounts to 55% of the increase. Among the industrial sectors, the iron & steel, petrochemical, electronic, textile, pulp & paper and cement industries account for approximately three quarters of the total industrial CO_2 emission. Therefore, understanding contributing factors responsible for the increasing CO_2 emission in the six industrial sectors is critical in establishing CO_2 emission policy. This paper applies two-tier KLEM input-output structural decomposition analysis (KLEM I-O) to analyze the influence of end requirement, alternating factors, technical progress, and trade variant on the energy intensive industries' CO_2 emission from 1991-2001. The analysis results revealed that many influential factors impact CO_2 emissions in varying degrees in each sector. Some of these findings should be useful for establishing effective CO_2 emission policy.

並列關鍵字

CO_2 emissions ； two-tier KLEM input-output structural decomposition analysis