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An Empirical Application of Markov Model for the Term Structure of Credit Risk Spreads

並列摘要


The Markov models by Jarrow, Lando and Turnbull (JLT) (1997) and Kijima and Komoribayashi (KK) (1998) provide an important alternative for pricing financial instruments on credit risk and risk management. Albeit some extensions have already been developed, empirical analysis of JLT-KK model is less documented. This article implements the model of KK and reports empirical results. Using the credit spread term structure observed in the market, unconstrained risk premium adjustments for riskier bounds with longer maturities are shown to easily exceed the upper bounds when default-dependent recovery rates are used.

並列關鍵字

credit risk default probability Markov

參考文獻


Alessandrini, F.(1999).Credit Risk, Interest Rate Risk, and the Business Cycle.Journal of Fixed Income.9(2),42-53.
Anderson, Ronald, W.,Sundaresan, S.(1996).Design And Valuation Of Debt Contracts.Review of Financial Studies.9(1),37-68.
Belkin, B.,Suchower, S.,L. Forest Jr.(1998).A One-Parameter Representation of Credit Risk and Transition Matrices.(CreditMetrics Monitor).
Bielecki, T. R.,Rutkowski, M.(2000).Multiple Ratings Model of Defaultable Term Structure.Mathematical Finance.10(2),125-139.
Black, F.,Scholes, M.(1973).The Pricing Of Options And Corporate Liabilities.Journal of Political Economy.81(3),637-654.

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