Beijing's Taiwan Policy: Tactical Adjustment and Strategic Persistence

北京對台政策戰術靈活和戰略堅持

林中斌(Chong-Pin Lin)

《國家發展研究》 2卷1期 (2002/12) Pp. 151-178

摘要

北京對台政策含戰略及戰術兩層次。前者如「和平統一」、「一國兩制」「不放棄對台用武」幾乎有二十年沒有改變。後者如武力威脅、經濟吸附、文字攻擊、言詞緩和等經常作靈活的調整。影響北京調整對台戰術的因素有中國國內狀況、國際環境（尤其是對美關係）、台灣動態。西元九零年代有兩個正面和兩個負面的案例值得檢驗。

關鍵字

北京 ； 台北 ； 兩岸關係 ； 戰略 ； 戰術 ； 統一 ； 獨立 ； 李登輝 ； 江澤民 ； 朱鎔基 ； 海基會 ； 陸委會

並列摘要

Beijing's Taiwan policy consists of two levels: strategy and tactics. The former-such as the ”peaceful unification”, ”one country two systems”, and the non-renunciation of the use of force-has been impressively consistent over almost two decades. However, the latter-such as military intimidation, economic enticement, verbal attacks, or softening of rhetoric-has been amazingly agile. The three major factors that seem to determine how Beijing adjust its tactics toward Taiwan are China's domestic condition, the international environment (Beijing-Washington relations in particular), and the Taiwan dynamics. Two positive cases, and two negative cases in the 1990s are examined.

並列關鍵字

Beijing ； Taipei ； cross-strait relations ； strategy ； tactics ； unification ； independence ； Lee Tenghui ； Jiang Zemin ； Zhu Rongji ； SEF ； ARATS

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