1971年以來大臺南製造業發展與人口變遷

本文欲釐清戰後至今（1966－2011年）近四十五年間，大臺南市製造業的發展脈絡與其空間變遷關係。研究首先透過大臺南市歷年（1971－2006年）製造業工廠數、員工數及生產總值，計算都市各分帶之成長指數變化，同時藉「工業強度」、「區位商數」及「過剩員工數」等三大工業指數，以製圖方法釐清市內各區產業發展及郊區化概況，呈現製造業「入」字型聚集現象。其次利用都市計畫圖、編定工業區位圖、土地利用圖及交通路網圖，闡明該產業空間佈局與都市土地發展存在「住宅與工商混合使用」及具有強化「地方化經濟」成長的機能。最後研究分析「工業區—村里居住人口—製造業及業人口」三因子之集中分布趨勢，結果顯示受高科技工業區外部效益擴散的影響，該類園區周圍各里之製造業就業與及業人口大為增加。未來，唯有持續調適並克服產業結構再組織的挑戰，方能邁向創新轉型並強化其產業競爭力。

關鍵字

產業發展；製造業；成長指數；區位商數；趨勢分析

並列摘要

Although political and economic circumstances deteriorated in Tainan, its industrial base has since improved with the issuing of industrial law in 1960. The district has since been revived in 2010 with the merger of Tainan City and Tainan County. This paper aims to explore Tainan's historical and special manufacturing changes between 1966 to 2011. We offer to holistically explore Tainan's manufacturing development through four aspects: the growth index, the aggregation trend of symbol ”入”, the interdependency of location-urban development, and Tainan's other potentials.The growth index is computed from the number of factory, labor, and total output value from every district. The aggregation trend of symbol ”入” is obtained by analyzing industrial indexes such as industrial strength, location quotient (L.Q.), and surplus labor-space analysis. The interdependency of location-urban development can be examined from city planning blueprints, distribution of industry maps, land use maps, traffic network maps, etc.Finally, the paper provides suggestions on ”industrial zone-population center village” and ”industrial zone-labor center of manufacturing village” in regards to future development trends in manufacturing in Tainan.