e民主時期的政治信任研究：對於台灣2016年選舉結果的觀察與評價

2016年1月16日台灣舉行總統、國會大選，選舉結果民進黨蔡英文當選中華民國第一位女性總統，同時完成第三次藍綠政黨輪替。另在立法委員選舉中，民進黨贏得113席次的68席，成為國會最大黨。加上之前2014年九合一選舉民進黨贏得過半縣市長席次，在2016選戰之後，民進黨已經實質取得總統、國會、縣市長完全執政地位，長期執政的國民黨出現了僅次於1949年以來的最大潰敗。本研究以「政治信任」為取徑，觀察並評價2016年選舉結果。從表面來看，國民黨敗選肇因於「長期忽略公共行政管理產出政治信任」所造成的結果，然而在e化民主(e-Democracy)時代，社會結構出現重大變化，民眾有能力使用社群媒體揭露、傳播更多與「政治信任」相關的議題，才是改變投票行為的關鍵原因。2016年大選過後，台灣勢必進入一個更清晰可觀察「e民主公民社會」；「政治信任」也將成為e民主時期公共行政管理極為重要的目標。

關鍵字

e 民主； 2016年選舉；政治信任

並列摘要

In the presidential and legislative elections held on January 16, 2016, Tsai Ing-wen, from the Democratic Progressive party (DPP), was elected as the first female president of the Republic of China, while Taiwan's politics experienced its third turnover of ruling parties. As for the legislative election, the DPP won 68 seats out of total 113 seats and became the majority in the legislature. With the 13 seat that was previously won in the nine-in-one local election in 2014, DPP has become an absolute majority on both legislative and local level. This study analyzes and evaluates the 2016 election results based on ＂political trust.＂ On the face of it, KMT's defeat resulted from its long-term neglect of political trust. To dig deeper, the public now has the ability to reveal and spread more information related to political trust though social media in this e-democracy era, which is the major reason for the changes in voter behavior. Under the traditional media structure, there is a ＂visible hand＂ holding the power and monopolizing the media. However, in an e-democratic civil society, there is more than one hand but thousands of them. The 2016 election shows that the public value is no longer created or shaped only by government authority. Taiwan's transition to a more ＂e-democratic civil society＂ is sure to happen, and political trust will also become a critical goal for public administration.