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An Approach of the Momentum Method for Prospective Scenarios of Brazilian Tourism Post-Covid-19

摘要


The study aims to develop prospective scenarios for post-Covid-19 Brazilian tourism, using the Momentum method. Analysis was limited to tourism sector, since no Brazilian studies focused on this theme were identified, bringing a novelty. Momentum presented as a hybrid model, using scenarios prospective vision. Furthermore, Momentum is associated with multi-criteria decision-making, using THOR 2 and AHP-TOPSIS-2N. It was established three prospective scenarios for tourism in Brazil, as well as four alternative tourism forms, directly linked to these scenarios, for the multi-criteria evaluation. It was possible to stablish that both methods determined the same alternatives for appropriate tourism in specifics scenarios.

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