- 期刊
Research on Prediction Accuracy of GM (1, 1) Model
並列摘要
In tradition studies on prediction accuracy of GM (1, 1) model, only consider fitting error, without considering impact from accuracy of original data. Thus it is not comprehensive or scientific. Prediction error results from two sides: 1. error from modeling fitting which is irrelative to data accuracy; 2. accumulating error from data transformation which is relative to data accuracy. In this paper, by using error transfer and error synthesis theories, and considered the characteristics of grey number, we established GM (1, 1) prediction accuracy model, and then we demonstrated scientific and effectiveness of accuracy model, in the end, an example to prove that this model given.
延伸閱讀
- Niu, W., Wang, G. Q., Cheng, J., & Zhai, Z. J. (2011). Research on Extension of GM(1,1) and Its Modeling Mechanism. Journal of Grey System, 14(4), 151-157. https://doi.org/10.30016/JGS.201112.0004
- Hai, N. P., Binh, T. T. K., & Tuyen, N. P. (2019). A New Prediction Model T-DGM(2,n) and Its Application. International Journal of Uncertainty and Innovation Research, 1(1), 63-76. https://www.airitilibrary.com/Article/Detail?DocID=P20190619001-201904-201906190011-201906190011-63-76
- Li, G. D., Yamaguchi, D., & Nagai, M. (2005). New Methods and Accuracy Improvement of GM According to Laplace Transform. Journal of Grey System, 8(1), 13-25. https://doi.org/10.30016/JGS.200507.0002
- Qian, W. Y., Dang, Y. G., Shen, T., & Lian, Z. W. (2010). Study on GM (1,1,t) Model Based on Non-homogenous Exponential Series. Journal of Grey System, 13(1), 35-39. https://doi.org/10.30016/JGS.201003.0006
- Hung, K. C., Hsu, F. Y., Wu, K. J., Wen, K. L., & Wu, J. H. (2007). An Enhanced GM(1,1) Grey Prediction Approach with Error Term μ(k). Journal of Grey System, 10(2), 59-68. https://doi.org/10.30016/JGS.200709.0001