冷戰後韓美同盟變遷之研究（1992-2013）

本文探討韓美同盟的變遷，以圖了解一個聯盟的發展如何受到第三者的影響，並藉韓國四任總統時期的案例，探討以下三個議題：冷戰結束以來韓美同盟的發展與強度變化、該同盟關係變化與中國崛起因素的關聯，以及上述影響對聯盟理論的啟示。研究發現，同盟強度同時受到結構面與認知面因素的影響，並與韓國國內政府變動和對威脅的認知有關。威脅既有客觀的北韓核武與中、朝、韓關係親疏變化，也有對北韓、中國與美國的主觀認知。

關鍵字

聯盟理論；韓美同盟；中國崛起；中韓關係；朝鮮半島

並列摘要

This study explores the impact of China's rise on the alliance between the Republic of Korea and the United States. It also helps to understand how third parties exert an influence on the alliance. The study examines four cases of four consecutive Korean governments: under Kim Young- Sam, Kim Dae-Jung, Roh Moo-Hyun and Lee Myung-Bak. It seeks to estimate the strength of the Korea-U.S. alliance, and asks how it has been affected by China's rise and what the theoretical implications of this are. The research sets as a key indicator to measure the solidarity of the Korea- U.S. alliance the treaty obligations various ROK governments were willing to assume. It found that the key factor affecting these obligations is not confined to the structural configuration of power. Domestic political trends and the consequent subjective perceptions about ＂who is the major threat＂ played a significant role in the formation/deformation of the alliance.