中美南海議題之競合－中國追求「新型大國關係」的挑戰

The Issue of Competition and Cooperation between China and the United States in the South China Sea: Challenges for a ＂New Type of Great Power Relations＂

胡敏遠(Ming-yuan Hu)

《遠景基金會季刊》 19卷1期 (2018/01) Pp. 57-107

摘要

中國欲與美國建立「新型大國關係」，是一種為了因應國際權力重新分配的舉措。新權力結構一旦形成，中國在亞太地區的主導性將不斷增大。在南海地區，中國持續擴張權勢，在占領的島礁上進行填海造島及軍事部署，以改變原有態勢。面對聲索國的抗議，中國採取威逼與利誘等手段，建構以中國為核心的區域強權。惟美國必然就此採取制衡措施，以防止中國的壯大。故中、美權力競爭不可能創造出和諧與共治的國際環境，而雙方在南海的競逐則仍無法跳脫權力平衡的框架。

關鍵字

南海 ； 新型大國關係 ； 反介入／區域拒止戰略 ； 權力平衡 ； 新現實主義

並列摘要

China wants to establish a ＂New Type of Great Power Relations＂ with the United States as a measure for redistribution of global power. Aiming to becoming the regional power in South China Sea along with traditional global players, the PLA has gradually increased its political and military influences in this region by reclaiming and militarizing islands. China uses a carrots and sticks policy, luring by economic benefits and threatening with its military presence, to silence sovereignty and claims to sovereignty by other states. In order to disrupt China’s rapidly increasing influence in the region, the U.S. must respond with counter measures to neutralize China’s actions. Therefore, military competition between China and the U.S. will not create a peaceful and cooperative environment in the South China Sea. In summary, the balance of power between China and the U.S. remains in stalemate.

並列關鍵字

South China Sea ； New Type of Great Power Relations ； Anti-Access/Area Denial ； Balance of Power ； Neo-Realism

參考文獻

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