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台灣之一般政府金融性負債

The General Government Financial Liabilities in Taiwan

摘要


台灣債務餘額確切數字究竟為何,各方說法莫衷一是。2011年底財政部公佈之資料顯示中央政府一年以上債務未償餘額已達到新台幣4兆7,645億元。本文基於國際比較基礎觀點,擬以聯合國2009年公布之國民經濟會計制度(System of National Accounts 2008;SNA 2008)為準據,試算台灣目前之一般政府金融性負債(general government financial liabilities)。本文將審計部公布之《中華民國100年度各級政府總決算審核報告》按SNA 2008之「一般政府金融性負債」之定義進行改編,得出2011年度台灣之「一般政府金融性負債」為7兆1,265億元、「一般政府金融性負債占GDP之比率」為52.12%;且台灣之比率52.09%與當年度歐元區15國平均比率95.56%及OECD各國平均比率103.5%相較仍屬較低,故若以國際比較觀點,台灣之公共債務狀況尚屬中上之狀態。

並列摘要


Following the financial crisis, the Taiwanese government implemented an expansionary fiscal policy to stimulate economic growth. However, this led to a dramatic increase in outstanding debt according to the Ministry of Finance, the central government over one year outstanding debt reached a record high 4.76 trillion (New Taiwan dollars) by the end of 2011. In contrast, numerous media outlets reported the figures of government outstanding debt (including the "potential liabilities" and "liabilities of state-owned enterprises") at 21.40 trillion. To facilitate cross-national comparisons, this study adopted the System of National Accounts 2008 (SNA 2008), published by the United Nations in 2009, as the standard reference to compile the "general government financial liabilities" of Taiwan. This study use data obtained from All Levels of Government Final Accounts Audit Report, which is publishedby the Ministry of Auditing. Our results indicate that by the end of 2011, the general government financial liability had reached 7.12 trillion NT$, which represents 52.12% of the GDP. In the same year, the EU had accumulated debt equivalent to 95.56% of the GDP. In contrast, the accumulated debt of the OECD was 103.5%. It appears that the condition for Taiwan public debt is still in the moderate condition.

參考文獻


中央銀行經濟研究處,2012,中華民國 100 年資金流量統計年報。台北:行政院中央銀行。
自由時報,2012,潛藏債務 15 兆軍公教退撫占逾半,12 月 30 日。

被引用紀錄


趙雪岑(2016)。政府債務對於經濟成長之群集分析〔碩士論文,國立臺灣大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6342/NTU201603030

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