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Selection of an Artificial Neural Network Model for the Post-calibration of Weather Radar Rainfall Estimation

並列摘要


A statistical approach, based on artificial neural networks, is proposed for the post-calibration of weather radar rainfall estimation. Tested artificial neural networks include multilayer feedforward networks and radial basis functions. The multilayer feedforward training algorithms consisted of four variants of the gradient descent method, four variants of the conjugate gradient method, Quasi-Newton, One Step Secant, Resilient backpropagation, Levenberg-Marquardt method and Levenberg-Marquardt method using Bayesian regularization. The radial basis networks were the radial basis functions and the generalized regression networks. In general, results showed that the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm using Bayesian regularization can be introduced as a robust and reliable algorithm for post-calibration of weather radar rainfall estimation. This method benefits from the convergence speed of the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm and from the over fitting control of Bayes' theorem. All the other multilayer feedforward training algorithms result in failure since they often lead to over fitting or converged to a local minimum, which prevents them from generalizing the data. Radial basis networks are also problematic since they are very sensitive when used with sparse data.

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