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WTO共同會籍與兩岸整合之探討

A Study on the China-Taiwan WTO Comembership and Integration

摘要


本文以新功能主義理論檢驗兩岸互動,發現兩岸經濟條件的互補讓台灣與中國間的關係日益密切,符合功能主義功能互賴具擴張性之預期。但兩岸出口依存度的懸殊使台灣警覺,因而提出戒急用忍政策,表現的則是新功能主義學者所謂功能互賴造成不平衡,促使政治行為者重新界定課題,因而帶來逆溢的現象。 台灣違反WTO規範限制中國貨品之進口,中國刻意從牽涉台灣業者重大利益的反傾銷調查案著手,顯示的是兩岸政治動機使雙方政府各自選擇強化國內機構,而非利用整合機構-WTO來處理交流所產生的問題。驗證於新功能主義所提出的過程結構及整合潛能條件,兩岸間存在的多是負面因素,更不符合「不訴諸武力」的條件。由兩岸各有算盤,互不信賴的互動看來,兩岸WTO共同會籍雖會使兩岸經質量增高,但整合的條件不存在,經濟未必整合,更遑論政治整合。

關鍵字

WTO 整合 共同會籍 新功能主義

並列摘要


With the WTO comembership, Taiwan and China are bound by the WTO rules in their trade relations. The article explores the cross-strait WTO interactions with neofunctionalism to see if the WTO comembership will enhance the probability of cross-strait economic and political integration. The study, however, finds that integration is conditional. The current cross-strait WTO interactions show a patter of calculation of political self-interest and a deep lack of trust. Taiwan, against WTO rules, restricts imports from China; China initiates anti-dumping investigations, which involves major Taiwan economic interest. Both have relied on domestic agencies, instead of integration agency-the WTO-in solving their problems. Checking against process mechanisms and integrative potential proposed by Joseph Nye, there exist only negative factors in the China-Taiwan bilateral relations; and the ”non use of force” condition raised by Karl Deutsch does not exist neither. The cross-strait trade volume may increase with the WTO comembership, but it does not necessarily lead to economic integration, let alone political integration.

並列關鍵字

WTO comembership integration Neo-functionalism

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