中共提出「建軍百年奮鬥目標」意圖、內涵及影響

The Intention, Connotation and Influence of ＂Goals Set for Chinese PLA Centenary＂ by CCP

陳津萍(Jin-Ping Chen) ； 劉宏淋(Hung-Lin Liu) ； 張貽智(I-Chih Chang)

《國防雜誌》 36卷3期 (2021/09) Pp. 41-60

https://doi.org/10.6326/NDJ.202109_36(3).0002

摘要

本文以文獻分析為方法，探析中共戰略的內涵。主要體現於中共營造國防預算增長的正當性，企圖消弭「中國威脅論」的異聲；凸顯建構機械化、信息化及智能化的能力為目標，要求與國家現代化一致；提升捍衛主權、安全及發展利益的戰略能力，最終導致擴張作為愈趨可能，影響區域安全與世界秩序。此外，在未來防衛作戰中，我國將面臨信息化及智能化已融入重型機械化部隊、兩棲機械化部隊、空降機械化部隊等的中共軍隊，且無人化更趨明顯，整體發展內涵，值得關注。

關鍵字

三步走戰略 ； 國防和軍隊現代化 ； 建軍百年奮鬥目標 ； 戰略涵義

並列摘要

This article uses literature review methodology to analyze the strategic implication of the CCP's ＂Centennial Military Building Goal.＂ It concludes that the attempt of this objective is to legitimatize the CCP's increase in its defense budget and eliminate the opposing international voice of ＂China Threat Theory.＂ My investigation further highlights the CCP's goal of orderly integration between mechanization, informationization, and intelligentization, in alignment with the country's modernization. The CCP's intention is to enhance the strategic ability to defend sovereignty, security, and development interests, which eventually lead to the greater possibility of one-sided actions that profoundly affect regional security and world order. In addition, Taiwan would face severe military threat in future defense operations due to CCP's informatization and intelligence integrated into the main combat equipment. The PLA's improvements, such as heavy mechanized troops, amphibious mechanized troops and airborne mechanized troops, and the tendency of unmanned operation, are becoming more apparent, and the connotation of these developments is a matter of concern for Taiwan's national defense.

並列關鍵字

Three-step Development Strategy ； Modernization of National Defense and the Armed Forces ； Centennial Military Building Goal ； Strategic Implication