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Democratic and Electoral Process in Nigeria: A Forecast into the 2023 General Elections

摘要


Given the history of democracy, electoral malpractices, and the new electoral laws going into the 2023 general elections in Nigeria, this essay makes a forecast for the 2023 general elections in the country. The research adopts primary and secondary data sources, using qualitative interview method. Findings show that indeed, electoral malpractice is huge in the Nigerian democratic/electoral process, that the practice permeates all aspects of the electoral process, and that they are driven by a number of factors. The forecast reveals that the 2023 general elections will be one of the most keenly contested in the history of democracy and elections in Nigeria, and that the new laws going into the elections (e.g., the electronic transmission of election results), are envisaged to enhance electoral integrity in 2023 only if they are effectively implemented. Electoral malpractices should be expected to continue in 2023, as politicians are likely to devise novel means/patterns (hacking is most likely) of manipulating the electoral process in Nigeria. It concludes that in order to improve the democratic/electoral process in 2023, electronic voting should be introduced, while all hands must be on deck to ensure that the envisaged new patterns of electoral malpractices are nipped in the bud.

參考文獻


Robert Pastor, “The Role of Electoral Administration in Democratic Transitions: Implications for Policy and Research,” Journal of Democratization 6, no. 4 (1999): 1-27.
Richard Katz, Democracy and Elections (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1997).
Steven Levitsky and Lucan Way, Comparative Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes after the Cold War (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2010)
Larry Diamond and Leonardo Morlino, Assessing the Quality of Democracy (Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2005).
Mathijs Bogaards, “Re-examining African Elections,” Journal of Democracy 24, no. 4 (2013): 151-160.

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