本研究依據個案銀行2008-2012年資料為研究指標,以灰色預測理論預測其資本適足率、第一類資本比率與普通股權益比率是否符合金管會是否所發布之「銀行資本適足性及資本等及管理辦法」與「資本適足率、第一類資本比率及普通股權益比率之最低要求」,以供管理當局與金融監理單位參考。個案銀行如有低於以上比率時,提早增資,以健全其資本結構,並做好適當之營運決策修正。依據本研究顯示,個案銀行之資本適足率、第一類資本比率均高於「銀行資本適足性及資本等級管理辦法」及「銀行自有資本與風險性資產計算方法說明及表格」規範之最低要求;然而普通股權益比率依灰預測結果,低於最低要求,建議管理當局應速增資,俾能健全資本結構,以符合規定,並安定投資人與員工之信心。
This research based on data of the bank as index used to discuss its capital structure. Using Grey Forecasting method to predict whether its BIS Ratio, Tier 1 Capital Ratio and Common Equity Ratio are suitable to fit the regulations-"Regulations Governing the Category of Banks" and "The minimum requirement of BIS Ratio, Tier I Capital Ratio and Common Equity Ratio" of Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC), to submit reference for the authorities and superiority organizations. If these ratios were below the requirements, the authorities should raise capital as soon as possible, to strengthen its capital structure, and prepare to make proper adjustments for operating. This research reveals that its BIS Ratio and Tier I Capital Ratio are qualified, but its Common Equity Ratio is not sufficient to meet the requirements. This research suggested that the authority should raise capital as soon as possible, to strengthen its capital structure to meet the regulations, and stabilize investors and employees' confidence.