中國大陸軟體產業規模和人力的研究：系統動態學的分析

A Research on the Software Industry Scale and the Software Workforce in China: An Analysis by System Dynamic

邱惟明(Wei-Ming Qiu)

《東亞論壇》 456期 (2007/06) Pp. 79-92

https://doi.org/10.29705/EAR.200706.0006

摘要

軟體產業的人力資源是影響中國軟體產業持續發展的主要因素之一。本文運用系統動態學原理，建立軟體產業系統動態學模型，模擬2006年至2016年中國軟體產業規模和軟體產業人力資源的能趨勢，並對未來軟體產業的問題進行討論。研究結果顯示，中國軟體產業規模和從業人力，2006年至2016年將呈現急速增長的趨勢。為確保軟體產業規模和人力持續增長，本文也提出兩個層面必須關注的問題：(1)國家內需環境的影響、(2)軟體人才流失的問題，並對問題意涵進行論述。

關鍵字

中國軟體產業規模 ； 中國軟體產業人力 ； 系統動態學

並列摘要

The workforce of software is one of the most important factors to the software industry in China. This research is to create software industry model to simulate the trend of software industry scale and workforce effects from 2006 to 2010 by system dynamic theory. The result indicates that the software scale and software workforce are rapid growth from 2006 to 2016. For assurance of the increase to the software industry scale and software workforce, two problems should be focused: (1) the environment of domestic demand market of China, (2) the workforce flow away from software industry, and finally this study discusses the meanings of these two problems.

並列關鍵字

software industry in China ； software industry workforce ； system dynamic

參考文獻

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