居民防災期待、授能、信任、實質防災準備之因果模式分析

The Causal Model Analysis of Residents' Expectancy, Empowerment, Trust, Disaster Prevention Intention and Disaster Preparedness

劉祥得(Hsiang Te Liu) ； 張平吾(Ping-Wu Chang) ； 唐雲明(Yun-Ming Tang)

《通識論叢》 22期 (2019/06) Pp. 81-97

摘要

全球民眾都有可能受到環境災害的負面影響，如火山爆發、森林野火、暴風雨、水災、海嘯、地震等，也有可能遭受流行性感冒之類的健康危害。因此，災害管理策略擬定與認知，對於一般民眾來說，十分重要。風險管理的目標，即是希望居民進行災害前實質準備，降低災害所造成的負面結果。本研究主要探討居民防災正向、負向結果期待、授能、信任、防災意向、實質防災準備認知，並深究其間因果模式關係。本研究有效樣本共1023份。使用驗證式因素分析及結構方程模式，驗證所設立的假設。研究結果證實：防災正向結果期待強化實質防災準備；防災負向結果期待負向影響實質防災準備。居民授能感正向影響信任感。信任正向影響防災意向。防災意向中介信任和實質防災準備間的關係。

關鍵字

正向結果期待 ； 授能 ； 信任 ； 防災意向 ； 實質防災準備

並列摘要

People around the world may be adversely affected by environmental disasters such as volcanic eruptions, wildfires, storms, floods, tsunamis, earthquakes, etc., and may also be exposed to health hazards such as influenza. Therefore, disaster management strategy formulation and cognition are very important for the general public. The goal of risk management is that residents can prepare for the actual situation before the disaster happened and reduce the negative consequences caused by the disaster. This study mainly explores the causal relationships among positive expectancy, negative expectancy, empowerment, trust, disaster prevention intention and disaster preparedness. A total of 1023 valid samples were collected in this study and used confirmatory factor analysis and structural equation models to test hypotheses we established. The results of the study confirmed that: positive outcome expectancy positively influences disaster preparedness; negative outcome expectancy negatively affects disaster preparedness; Residents' empowerment positively affects trust. Trust positively affects disaster prevention intentions. Disaster prevention intention mediates the relationship between trust and disaster preparedness.

並列關鍵字

positive expectancy ； empowerment ； trust ； disaster prevention intention ； disaster preparedness