2020美國民主黨拜登當選後兩岸關係之探討

2020年美國總統大選無一不是各國關注焦點，包括選前雙方攻防迂迴，更有選戰陰謀論等言說盛傳，儘管現任美國總統川普揚言發起法律訴訟，但隨著雙方選情的明朗化，在獲得多家美國主流媒體的普遍認證，多位共和黨大老的立場表態，以及許多國家已紛紛發電致賀拜登當選的情況下，拜登入主下屆白宮應屬底定之勢。這場總統大選不僅決定今後美國政局發展，也關乎下階段中美關係競合乃至臺海局勢演變，本文係從九二共識臺灣各個執政時期之論述，反映臺海近年來日趨緊張之關係演變，再深入探討中美兩強競爭下，對於未來美國新執政團隊的政策分析，會對臺灣往後的國際地位及對中關係有何劇烈影響，期盼未來臺灣在此混沌不前，令人困頓的僵局中有所突破。

關鍵字

美國大選；拜登；九二共識；新冷戰

並列摘要

The 2020 U.S. presidential election is the focus of attention of all countries, including the roundabout offensive and defensive of the two sides before the election, and even the conspiracy theory of the election war. Although the current U.S. President Trump threatened to initiate legal proceedings, as the elections of both parties became clearer, With the universal certification of many mainstream media in the United States, the position of many Republican elders, and the fact that many countries have sent messages to congratulate Biden on his election, it should be a definite trend to visit the next White House. This presidential election not only determines the future development of the US political situation, but also relates to the next stage of Sino-US relations and the evolution of the Taiwan Strait situation. This article is based on the 1992 Consensus and the elaboration of Taiwan's various ruling periods, reflecting the evolution of the increasingly tense relationship between the Taiwan Strait in recent years. Under the competition between the two powers of China and the United States, the policy analysis of the new US ruling team in the future will have a dramatic impact on Taiwan's future international status and relations with China. This article also hopes that Taiwan will make a breakthrough decision in this chaotic and difficult stalemate in the future.