低生育率背景下东盟来粤留学市场分析－广东省民办高校为例

An Analysis of Enrollment Environment of ASEAN Students in Guangdong under the Background of Low Fertility Rate: An Empirical Study of Private Colleges and Universities

李润发(Runfa Li) ； 颜财发(Tsai-Fa Yen) ； 张庆林(Qinlin Zhang)

《全球運動與休閒管理期刊》 4卷4期 (2021/12) Pp. 15-31

https://doi.org/10.6616/GSRM.202112_4(4).0002

摘要

低生育率背景下，未来三十年内高校生源短缺问题将变得极为严重。相对弱势的民办高校将首先受到生源危机的冲击，开拓来华留学教育市场是民办高校解决生源危机的重要措施之一。有利的环境为广东民办高校开发东南亚国家联盟（东盟）留学教育市场提供了机会，例如东盟高等教育适龄人口规模大、广东与东盟经济贸易交流密切。广东民办高校应将开拓东盟来粤留学市场作为解决生源危机的战略措施，在缓解生源危机的同时为广东与东盟人文、经贸交流培养有用之才。当然，更长的周期看，东盟也将进入低生育率阶段并面临生源危机，提高生育率是解决生源危机的终极秘诀。

關鍵字

低生育率鄉 ； 生源危机 ； 广东省民办高校 ； 留学 ； 东盟

並列摘要

In the next 30 years, the number of people of higher education age will decrease. Private colleges and universities in Guangdong Province will face a serious shortage of students. Private higher education institutions are in a weak position and will be first impacted by the enrollment crisis. The development of overseas education market is an important measure for private higher education institutions to solve the enrollment crisis. The favorable environment such as the close economic and trade exchanges between Guangdong and Association of Southeast Asian Nation(ASEAN) provides opportunities for Guangdong private higher education institutions to develop the ASEAN overseas education market. Guangdong private educational institutions should take expanding the enrollment scale of ASEAN Students as a strategic measure to solve the student source crisis. Of course, it is expected that ASEAN will also enter a stage of low fertility and face a enrollment crisis. In the long run, improving fertility rate is the ultimate secret to solve the enrollment crisis.

並列關鍵字

Low Fertility Rate ； Enrollment Crisis ； Private Colleges and Universities in Guangdong Province ； Overseas Student ； ASEAN

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