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Analysis on the Effects of China's Foreign Exchange Market Pressure

摘要


Combined with the development of China's economy, this paper points out the formation of pressure in the foreign exchange market, including six factors: trade friction between China and the United States, international expectation of exchange rate appreciation, huge foreign exchange reserves, interest rate difference between China and the United States, economic growth and nominal exchange rate. EMP is constructed by using the construction equation proposed by Weymark which made a general definition of the foreign exchange market pressure index. And the reason of EMP change trend is analyzed. Finally, some Suggestions are put forward to relieve the pressure of foreign exchange market.

參考文獻


Girton, L, and D. Roper. Monetary models of exchange pressure applied to the post war Canadian experience. American Economic Review, Vol. 67 (1977) No.3, p.537-548.
Weymark, Dlanan. Measuring the degree of exchange market intervention in a small open economy. Journal of international Money and Finance, Vol.22 (1997) No.1, p. 55-79.
Jie Zhu. China's foreign exchange market pressure and the degree of intervention of the central bank: An Empirical Analysis. world economy, Vol. 29 (2003) No.6, p.14-23.
Yongxiang Bu. RMB appreciation pressure and monetary policy: Empirical Analysis Based on monetary model. Economic research, Vol. 67 (2008) No.9, p.58-69.
Chao Wan, Yuying Jin. Research on the change of RMB foreign exchange market pressure index and the effect of pressure release. Finance and trade research., Vol. 26 (2010) No.2, p.82-88.

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