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  • 學位論文

金融海嘯期間流動性風險與公司股價之關連性研究 -以證券化資料分析

The Relation between Liquidity Risk and Firm-Specific Stock Returns during the Financial Crisis: An Analysis Using Securitizations

指導教授 : 劉啟群
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摘要


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並列摘要


In securitization transactions, it is difficult to lower uncertainty over the value of originators and higher information quality because of high estimation risk which results from contractual retained interests and non-contractual interests. In addition, for investors, the estimation of the extent of risk retention worsens the uncertainty over the value of originators and lowers information quality. Lev and Zhou (2009) find that under SFAS No. 157 the separation of assets/liabilities to three levels classifies items by liquidity risk; from the lowest liquidity risk—Level 1—through the highest liquidity risk—Level 3. In fact, this three-level separation also potentially informs on estimation risk and information quality; from the lowest estimation risk and the highest information quality—Level 1—through the highest estimation risk and the lowest information quality—Level 3. Therefore, investors regard that originators with higher off-balance securitized loans have higher estimation risk. Higher uncertainty over the value of originator associates with lower information quality and thus higher liquidity risk, generating a stronger investors’ reaction to crisis events than the lower off-balance securitized loans. This thesis, using the event study methodology, selecting 137 crisis events expected to have effects on liquidity from 2007 to 2009 and collecting a sample of 385 U.S. banking holding companies, examines that the connection between liquidity risk and firm-specific stock returns during the financial crisis through securitizations. The hypothesis is in liquidity-constraining events investors will react more negatively to the higher off-balance sheet securitization; in liquidity-expanding events investors will react more positively to the higher off-balance sheet securitization. Results of this study are inconsistent with the hypotheses. Only for distress events, investors will react more negatively to the higher off-balance sheet securitization. There are several alternative ways to interpret the empirical results. Firstly, some events during the early phase and later period of the crisis may only impact specific firms so that liquidity has minor direct influence on the whole market. Secondly, there are some arguments for few events in late 2008 which generally follow the prior literature (Lev and Zhou, 2009) to be classified into the appropriate group. Thirdly, “The Financial Crisis: A Timeline of Events and Policy Actions” does not cover all events which may affect the whole market. Lastly, I collect data not based on actual dates each financial company publishes its quarterly and annual reports.

參考文獻


Lev. B., and N. Zhou. 2009. Unintended Consequence: Fair Value Accounting Informs on Liquidity Risk, Working paper, New York University and SUNY at Binghamton
Riedl E.J., and G. Serafeim. 2009. Information Risk and Fair Value: An Examination of Equity Betas and Bid-Ask Spreads, Working paper, Harvard Business School
Chen, W., C. Liu, and S. G. Ryan. 2008. Characteristics of Securitizations that Determine Issuers’ Retention of the Risks of Securitized Assets. The Accounting Review 83 (5), 1181-1215.
Landsman, W. R., K. Peasnell, and C. Shakespeare. 2008. Are Asset Securitizations Sales or Loans. The Accounting Review 83 (5), 1251-1272.
Niu, F. F., and G. D. Richardson. 2006. Are Securitizations in Substance Sales or Secured Borrowings: Capital Market Evidence. Contemporary Accounting Research (23): 1105-1133.

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