資訊及通訊科技產業與價格指標

Information and Communication Technology Industry and Price Indexes

郭渤宇(Bo-Yu Guo)

指導教授 ： 薛琦

國立臺灣大學/社會科學院/經濟學研究所/碩士(2007年)

https://doi.org/10.6342/NTU.2007.01679

摘要

製造業是台灣經濟發展的主要動力，從早期的勞動密集產業到近年來資訊及通訊科技產業的蓬勃發展。尤其自1990年以後技術能力快速的提升，這段期間資訊科技產品品質提升、產品週期縮短及價格下跌之迅速皆是前所未見的，也對我國經濟發展產生莫大之影響。
　　本研究首先以文獻回顧的方式，從消費者物價指數的衡量偏誤看出忽略品質變動之影響。並討論福利衡量理論方法及不同族群面對的通貨膨脹率實證結果。接著由實證資料研究產業面及進出口結構，背景為我國1991年至2005年資料。指出資訊科技產業對經濟發展影響，包含貿易條件的惡化及品質變動之提升。並評論價格指標之使用。進一步發現雖然整體物價相對穩定，但資訊及通訊科技產品價格卻大幅的下降，也因各族群消費習性的不同使品質提升帶來的福利出現分配不均現象。

關鍵字

資訊及通訊科技產業 ； 價格指標 ； 品質變動 ； 福利 ； 貿易條件

並列摘要

Manufacturing industry has played an important role in the Taiwan’s economic development since the early labor-intensive industry to the information and communication technology industry nowadays. The improvement in technology since 1990 was tremendous. For example, the quality refinement of information and communication technology products, the abridgement of product life-cycle and the drop in price were all incredible, which gave a huge influence to the Taiwan’s economic development.
First, we will talk about the result of ignoring the quality change by reviewing the reference in consumer price index measurement bias. Then we’ll discuss the theoretical method of welfare measurement, and discuss the influence of inflation rate on different groups of people with proven result. Next is the research in the structure of industry, import and export, using the economic analysis in 1991-2005 as background. Finally, we conclude the influence of technology industry on the economic development, including the aggravation in terms of trade and the improvement of quality change. Then discuss the use of price index, and the added discovery that though the whole price was stable, the price of information and communication technology products drop increasingly. And the consumption paths of different groups make the welfare from quality improvement became unequally distributed.

並列關鍵字

information and communication technology industry ； price index ； quality change ； welfare ； terms of trade

參考文獻

Abraham, Katherine G., Greenless, John S., and Moulton, Brent R., “Working to Improve the Consumer Price Index,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 12(1): 27-36, 1998.

Amble, Nathan and Stewart, Ken, “Experimental Price Index for Elderly

Consumers,” Monthly Labor Review, May, 11-16, 1994.

Boskin, Michael J. and Hurd, Michael D., “Indexing Social Security Benefits: A

“Consumer Prices, the Consumer Price Indexes, and the Cost of Living,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 12(1): 3-26, 1998.