刑期與所得對台灣汽車竊盜犯罪之影響

Imprisonment, Income and Crime---- Implications from Automobile Theft Data in Taiwan

陳壹瑾(Yi-Jian Chen)

指導教授 ： 古慧雯

國立臺灣大學/社會科學院/經濟學研究所/碩士(2008年)

https://doi.org/10.6342/NTU.2008.02368

摘要

…本文試圖以台灣汽車竊盜資料分析徒刑與所得對汽車竊盜犯罪之影響。竊盜案件數隨著平均所得上升而增加，徒刑可減少汽車竊盜案件數，且此效果隨所得十分位數增加而增強。

關鍵字

汽車竊盜 ； 波松迴歸 ； 負二項迴歸

並列摘要

This paper aims to analyze the effect of imprisonment and income on crime control with the automobile theft data in Taiwan. We find that the mean income increases with the number of automobile theft cases. Imprisonment reduces the automobile theft, and this effect becomes stronger with a higher 10-percentile income.

並列關鍵字

automobile theft ； Poisson regression ； negative binomial regression

參考文獻

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Bortkewitsch, L. von (1898), Das Gesetz der Kleinen Zahlen, Leipzig: Teubner.

Chisholm, John and Choe, Chongwoo (2005), "Income variables and the measures of gains from crime", Oxford Economic Papers, 57, 112-119.