中共推展「和平崛起」的戰略意涵與影響

The Implications and Influence of China Peaceful Rising Strategy”

陳昌龍(Chang-Lung Chen)

指導教授 ： 王高成

淡江大學/國際研究學院/國際事務與戰略研究所碩士在職專班/碩士(2006年)

https://doi.org/10.6846/TKU.2006.00063

摘要

自從1978年中國大陸開始採行經濟改革開放政策後，連續二十多年高度經濟成長使得中共的綜合國力達到前所未見的擴張。由於中共至今不放棄一黨專政體制，再加上它不光彩的人權記錄，一個不民主的共黨大國崛起於東亞，會對世界局勢造成何種影響，引起多數世人的憂慮。中共自然也知道自己的崛起會讓外界感到不安，於是提出了「和平崛起論」。
本研究首先從「國際體系」、「現實主義」、「霸權穩定」、與「中國威脅」四個理論觀點來探討「和平崛起」的理論意涵，其次從中國大陸的政治、經濟、軍事安全環境、與心理等四個面向來分析中共推展「和平崛起」的背景，再其次是描述中共推展「和平崛起」戰略的具體作為及其對世局的影響，特別是中共此一戰略對於我國國家安全的衝擊。
本研究發現，中共推出「和平崛起」戰略具有降低及消除「中國威脅」的印象、建立友善的國際環境、爭取發展經濟時間、以及重建民族自信心等作用。這對於國際社會而言確實具有一定的影響力，我國自不可不多加注意中共此一戰略的發展。

關鍵字

「和平崛起」戰略 ； 中共 ； 國際秩序 ； 亞太安全

並列摘要

Since 1978, the Chinese Communist Party（CCP）decided to make the “reform and openness” economic policy in Mainland China. Today, more than 20 years high-degree economic growth drives the China’s comprehensive national power into a huge enlargement that we have never seen before. Because of the CCP still not gives up the “one-party oligarchy” political system yet, and its notorious human right records, most people in the world are worried about a rising non-democratic communist great power rising in the east Asia. Of course, the CCP itself understands a rising China will make the international community uneasy; therefore, they promote the “peaceful rising” thesis/strategy.
The first part of this research is to analyze the theoretical implications of the “peaceful rising” thesis, I do this work from four theoretical perspectives: international system, (neo)-realism, hegemonic stability thesis, and the “China threat” thesis. Second, I research the background of the “peaceful rising” thesis by mean of China’s domestic politics, economic growth, military-security environment, and the subjective intentions of the CCP leaders. Third I describe the practical performance and its influence to international politics on the promotion of the CCP’s “peaceful rising” strategy, especially in the impact on Taiwan national security.
According to my research, I find the “peaceful rising” strategy certainly have some effect, including: it decreases the negative image of the China as a threat; it helps to construct an amicable international environment; it extends more time to develop economy; and it good for the Chinese people reconstruct national confidence and self-esteem. The strategy certainly to have some influence over international community, therefore we have to watch out the development of this “peaceful rising” strategy.

並列關鍵字

peaceful rising strategy ； Chinese Communist Party ； international order ； Asia-Pacific security

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